Marquette vs. Creighton- Our chances of winning

[Scoop Snoop]

Our chances of beating Creighton are higher than beating UConn or St. Johns for reasons already stated.  That said, hard to like our chances with the way we've been playing. 

I'm going to check the family tree I have on Ancestry, because I'm beginning to suspect that we are related.    I like what I am reading from scoopers here who seem to have a cautiously optimistic take on the matchup. Let's hope the first part of my bball motto-"Often wrong, but never in doubt" comes true.

I'm admittedly rattled not only by the 3 losses but the 1st half of the GT game and the scary DePaul game. Having advantages vs. Creighton as outlined here give me more hope.

[Billy Hoyle]

We benefitted from Ashworth going 1-13 from three in the last game and will need that again. In his next game at Butler he went 1-8 but since then then he's shooting 48% from three at home and on the season 43% from three at home. He also hasn't missed a free throw at home all season. Stevie, Chase and Kam have a size and quickness advantage on him and can force him into another poor shooting night. Kalk also had his worst shooting game against (not include Nebraska where he only got one FG attempt) and is shooting 75% at home. If we can push him further out as well as be physical with him again on his shots from within 5 feet we will win this game.

[GoldenEagles03]

We benefitted from Ashworth going 1-13 from three in the last game and will need that again. In his next game at Butler he went 1-8 but since then then he's shooting 48% from three at home and on the season 43% from three at home. He also hasn't missed a free throw at home all season. Stevie, Chase and Kam have a size and quickness advantage on him and can force him into another poor shooting night. Kalk also had his worst shooting game against (not include Nebraska where he only got one FG attempt) and is shooting 75% at home. If we can push him further out as well as be physical with him again on his shots from within 5 feet we will win this game.

We absolutely do NOT need Ashworth to go 1-13 to win. Sure it'd help, but not needed.

All we NEED to win is to score more points than Creighton. That can happen in an almost infinite amount of ways. We are the better team. Just have to be crisp on the road.

[tower912]

As somebody alteady said, "I'll take Things Not Happening for $500 Alex"

He did last time.  Hopefully, his legs are up to it.

[MU82]

We benefitted from Ashworth going 1-13 from three in the last game and will need that again. In his next game at Butler he went 1-8 but since then then he's shooting 48% from three at home and on the season 43% from three at home. He also hasn't missed a free throw at home all season. Stevie, Chase and Kam have a size and quickness advantage on him and can force him into another poor shooting night. Kalk also had his worst shooting game against (not include Nebraska where he only got one FG attempt) and is shooting 75% at home. If we can push him further out as well as be physical with him again on his shots from within 5 feet we will win this game.

I just hope Ashworth isn't banking in 3s from the deep corner.

As was the case with our "lucky wins," Creighton looked shaky their last two games; they were especially fortunate to beat Nova on the luckiest shot in college basketball this season.

Tough place to play, and I don't assume a win, but we definitely can beat (and have beaten) that team.

[K1 Lover]

It feels good to see the optimism in this thread. Sadly, I'm leaning towards a loss on this one... I agree we're better, but after losing the first match-up, Creighton's going to much better prepared for our defense than they were at Fiserv. Seems like a recipe for trouble when you add that to how well they shoot at home, especially against ranked opponents.

That said, Marquette usually does find a way to win whenever I'm expecting a loss.

[BrewCity83]

Marquette wins this one.  After the physicality of UCONN and St. John's, Creighton is going to appear comparatively soft and MU imposes its will on the Bluejays.  MU gets its mojo back and starts a 6-game winning streak against inferior opponents.

Book it.

[bradforster]

I've been waiting for someone to start this, but Scoop has been so wrapped up in our current problems that it is almost as if Saturday's game has been forgotten.

Pluses for Marquette:

We beat them once this season. We have an 8-0 streak going vs. Creighton. our team will want to redeem itself after our recent performances. Lastly, they had at least one really bad game @ Georgetown, where they got blown out. It's not as if they cannot have a bad game.

Then there's Creighton:

I believe their current win streak since losing to MU is 8, they are at home, Kalk is coming off a 35-point performance, and damn they are playing really well right now. If UCONN takes down SJ on Friday and Creighton wins this game, they are tied for 1st place.

With my standard rejoinders- 1) I really hope I'm wrong and 2) use me as your punching bag if we win-I will happily take whatever you dish out- I think we lose this one. Cue the COLE.

Marquette lost at Creighton 89 - 75 last year in Omaha.  The winning streak is at one.

[bradforster]

Marquette lost at Creighton 89 - 75 last year in Omaha.  The winning streak is at one game.

[wadesworld]

Marquette lost at Creighton 89 - 75 last year in Omaha.  The winning streak is at one.

This was covered in about 6 other posts.

Seems like the poster was thinking of Nova.

[K1 Lover]

Marquette wins this one.  After the physicality of UCONN and St. John's, Creighton is going to appear comparatively soft and MU imposes its will on the Bluejays.  MU gets its mojo back and starts a 6-game winning streak against inferior opponents.

Book it.

That, or we rack up a ton of fouls due to how much softer Creighton is.

In the Reddit game thread last game, Creighton fans were whining non-stop about MU's defense. Clearly they're not accustomed to seeing physicality. I would expect them to get a friendlier whistle at home.

[bradforster]

This was covered in about 6 other posts.

Seems like the poster was thinking of Nova.

Oh, my bad. 

[bilsu]

We beat them soon after they lost Issac's for the season. Creighton has overcome that loss.
Creighton is the best team in the Big East. Of course they could always have an off-shooting night, so we have a chance.

[Uncle Rico]

We beat them soon after they lost Issac's for the season. Creighton has overcome that loss.
Creighton is the best team in the Big East. Of course they could always have an off-shooting night, so we have a chance.

We don't.  We suck. 

[We R Final Four]

We benefitted from Ashworth going 1-13 from three in the last game and will need that again. In his next game at Butler he went 1-8 but since then then he's shooting 48% from three at home and on the season 43% from three at home. He also hasn't missed a free throw at home all season. Stevie, Chase and Kam have a size and quickness advantage on him and can force him into another poor shooting night. Kalk also had his worst shooting game against (not include Nebraska where he only got one FG attempt) and is shooting 75% at home. If we can push him further out as well as be physical with him again on his shots from within 5 feet we will win this game.

Doubt he goes 1-13 again.

[wadesworld]

Like I said. Only easy wins. And the tough teams we beat were easy wins because they sucked when we played them and don't now. I hope the committee understands that when we played the good teams we beat they were sucking and aren't now. We have 0 good wins on the season and shouldn't get an invite. Don't want to see the inevitable first round loss.

I miss Wojo.

[Hards Alumni]

We beat them soon after they lost Issac's for the season. Creighton has overcome that loss.
Creighton is the best team in the Big East. Of course they could always have an off-shooting night, so we have a chance.

Eye test?

[DoggyDaddy]

We aren't shooting well-esp Cam, we are beat up esp Stevie, we start slow and stay there esp first half, it's an away game, the sky is gray and it'd cold esp in Nebraska.
Therefore...
we win with pride on the line (and some) EGB. Subs mature and make a difference.   

[Uncle Rico]

We aren't shooting well-esp Cam, we are beat up esp Stevie, we start slow and stay there esp first half, it's an away game, the sky is gray and it'd cold esp in Nebraska.
Therefore...
we win with pride on the line (and some) EGB. Subs mature and make a difference.   

Cam graduated a few years ago

[Newsdreams]

Cam graduated a few years ago

Get with the program, he is referencing Cameron Brown. I too believe that if MU can get a great shooting game from him, MU wins easily.

[Uncle Rico]

Get with the program, he is referencing Cameron Brown. I too believe that if MU can get a great shooting game from him, MU wins easily.

My bad.

[Hards Alumni]

Get with the program, he is referencing Cameron Brown. I too believe that if MU can get a great shooting game from him, MU wins easily.

Usually if he plays for at least a minute, Marquette wins.

Undeniable statistic.

[Jay Bee]

Usually if he plays for at least a minute, Marquette wins.

Undeniable statistic.

Fair point. Why isn't this coaching staff starting the walk ons??

Just looked up Omaha weather.., doesn't see a big snow event. Crap. We are gonna get plowed (pawz) here in the Twin Cities in the hours leading up to game time.

[mugrad_89]

The keys will be having Mitchell contain Ashworth again and Kam and Jop knocking down some outside shots.  I'd also like to see see a healthy dose of Zaide and Chase giving Kam a break at the point.

[GoldenEagles03]

The keys will be having Mitchell contain Ashworth again and Kam and Jop knocking down some outside shots.  I'd also like to see see a healthy dose of Zaide and Chase giving Kam a break at the point.

Zaide and Chase aren't point guards.