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Author Topic: MU's NCAA Path: Charleston, Lville, Mich, Texas Tech, UVA, Duke  (Read 1792 times)

Marquetteauburn

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MU's NCAA Path: Charleston, Lville, Mich, Texas Tech, UVA, Duke
« on: December 24, 2018, 07:17:37 PM »
I posted this with a visual of all four brackets http://www.crackedsidewalks.com/2018/12/mus-ncaa-path-charleston-lville-mich.html

If the Selection Committee went exactly from the new Net Ratings (that replaced RPI this year) then I have Marquette as the 4-seed in the East. Their path if higher seeds won all other games would be:

13-seed College of Charleston

5-seed Louisville in a rematch of the overtime win

1-seed Michigan

2-seed Texas Tech

East 1-seed Virginia

Overall 1-seed (South) Duke



I did not run a true S-Curve (where the 1 overall necessarily faces the 8 overall) but rather took each four set of the next seed and let the top one go in their closest region, with the worst of the four with that seed getting last dibs on whichever region was left. Still, this would be pretty close. The number to the left of each team is their seed - while the number to their right after the conference is their Net rating.



The Big East gets only four invites going exactly by the current Net Rating, but with great hope in light of recent big wins for 69th ranked Providence (won at 74th ranked Texas who most consider higher), 78th ranked Seton Hall (beat 22nd ranked Kentucky) and 53rd ranked Creighton (ranked 39th at www.kenpom.com and beat Ken Pom's 37th ranked team Clemson on a neutral court). I should say Nate Silver trashed the new Net System, but overall I do believe it is a big improvement over RPI because you get credit for margin of victory up to 10 points (so the K-State and Buffalo wins shot MU way up to 13th) which also gives credit for keeping a tough opponent close.







 



 



 




Uncle Rico

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Re: MU's NCAA Path: Charleston, Lville, Mich, Texas Tech, UVA, Duke
« Reply #1 on: December 24, 2018, 09:08:21 PM »
I like this. 
Ramsey head thoroughly up his ass.

#UnleashSean

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Re: MU's NCAA Path: Charleston, Lville, Mich, Texas Tech, UVA, Duke
« Reply #2 on: December 24, 2018, 11:08:00 PM »
Good old challonge brackets.

Marquetteauburn

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Re: MU's NCAA Path: Charleston, Lville, Mich, Texas Tech, UVA, Duke
« Reply #3 on: December 25, 2018, 02:12:41 AM »
yes! can't believe I didn't discover it back when I was actually coaching little league!

Herman Cain

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Re: MU's NCAA Path: Charleston, Lville, Mich, Texas Tech, UVA, Duke
« Reply #4 on: December 25, 2018, 10:00:23 AM »
I posted this with a visual of all four brackets http://www.crackedsidewalks.com/2018/12/mus-ncaa-path-charleston-lville-mich.html

If the Selection Committee went exactly from the new Net Ratings (that replaced RPI this year) then I have Marquette as the 4-seed in the East. Their path if higher seeds won all other games would be:

13-seed College of Charleston

5-seed Louisville in a rematch of the overtime win

1-seed Michigan

2-seed Texas Tech

East 1-seed Virginia

Overall 1-seed (South) Duke



I did not run a true S-Curve (where the 1 overall necessarily faces the 8 overall) but rather took each four set of the next seed and let the top one go in their closest region, with the worst of the four with that seed getting last dibs on whichever region was left. Still, this would be pretty close. The number to the left of each team is their seed - while the number to their right after the conference is their Net rating.



The Big East gets only four invites going exactly by the current Net Rating, but with great hope in light of recent big wins for 69th ranked Providence (won at 74th ranked Texas who most consider higher), 78th ranked Seton Hall (beat 22nd ranked Kentucky) and 53rd ranked Creighton (ranked 39th at www.kenpom.com and beat Ken Pom's 37th ranked team Clemson on a neutral court). I should say Nate Silver trashed the new Net System, but overall I do believe it is a big improvement over RPI because you get credit for margin of victory up to 10 points (so the K-State and Buffalo wins shot MU way up to 13th) which also gives credit for keeping a tough opponent close.
Here is current NET rankings.
Seton Hall is 59.
So maybe re run it.
The only mystery in life is why the Kamikaze Pilots wore helmets...
            ---Al McGuire

GooooMarquette

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Re: MU's NCAA Path: Charleston, Lville, Mich, Texas Tech, UVA, Duke
« Reply #5 on: December 25, 2018, 12:51:54 PM »
We got this.